CA Tubarão vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
6 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
3 - 0
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
TUB
72%
18%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 1
TUB
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
3 - 1
SAO
23%
28%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
PEL
55%
25%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 0
JEC
35%
27%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 2
CAX
25%
30%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
PEL
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |