CA Tubarão vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 0
PEL
38%
26%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
6 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
3 - 0
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
SAO
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
JEC
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
6 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAX
30%
30%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 0
JEC
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |