CA Tubarão vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
NOV
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
TUB
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
TUB
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
JEC
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 0
PEL
57%
25%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
CAX
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 2
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAX
56%
26%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |