CA Tubarão vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
CIA
1 - 0
TUB
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 1
TUB
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
TUB
2 - 0
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 0
TUB
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
TUB
1 - 0
BRU
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
SAO
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 0
CAX
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 2
SCI
16%
27%
57%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
AIM
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
AIM
1 - 1
CAX
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |