Tigre vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GLP
2 - 0
TIG
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
SLO
1 - 0
TIG
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TIG
1 - 2
ARS
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
COL
5 - 1
TIG
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TIG
1 - 2
CEN
50%
27%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SLO
3 - 0
CIE
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 0
RAC
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
SLO
1 - 0
TIG
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
SLO
2 - 2
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |