Rosario Central vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2005 |
INS
0 - 0
CEN
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 0
NOB
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CEN
4 - 0
LAN
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CEN
3 - 2
GIM
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2005 |
NOB
0 - 0
CEN
45%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
SLO
3 - 2
BOC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
OLI
1 - 1
SLO
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
SLO
1 - 1
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
EST
0 - 1
SLO
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SLO
3 - 2
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |