Rosario Central vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
CEN
42%
29%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CEN
0 - 1
ARG
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TAL
4 - 1
CEN
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
SLO
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 2
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 2
RAC
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 0
PAT
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 0
PAT
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
BOC
0 - 0
PAT
64%
23%
13%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 2
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |