Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 3-2
Rosario Central vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
GOD
2 - 1
CEN
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 2
CEN
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
CEN
0 - 0
12O
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
CEN
5 - 0
HUA
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 2
CEN
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 2
CEN
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
TAC
3 - 0
ZAM
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
31%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 3
TAC
19%
26%
56%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |