Rosario Central vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
BAN
2 - 0
CEN
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
CCP
1 - 3
CEN
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CEN
0 - 0
NOB
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 0
CEN
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CEN
3 - 0
TFE
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
BUC
0 - 2
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAL
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
CCP
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |