Copa Libertadores . Final
Global 3-0
River Plate vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
RIV
37%
25%
37%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
COL
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 5
RIV
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
TIG
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
RIV
37%
25%
37%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 1
SCI
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
SCI
2 - 1
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |