River Plate vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
GOD
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
AUR
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 3
RIV
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
RIV
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
CAU
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
SEV
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 1
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SEV
3 - 0
ELC
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 3
SEV
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 4
SEV
21%
23%
55%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |