River Plate vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 1
RIV
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOC
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CCS
1 - 3
RIV
17%
22%
62%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 0
ARS
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 4
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 2
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ATT
0 - 0
SLO
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SLO
2 - 1
DYJ
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
SLO
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 1
RAC
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |