River Plate vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
IND
0 - 0
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 0
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
BAN
0 - 1
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
ATP
2 - 2
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
BOC
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 0
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
SLO
2 - 2
VEL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
SLO
3 - 1
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 1
SLO
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SLO
3 - 0
GOD
76%
16%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |