River Plate vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
RIV
15%
24%
62%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 0
RIV
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 1
CEN
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GBR
1 - 4
RIV
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
RIV
0 - 2
ATT
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 0
PAT
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 0
PAT
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 2
ATT
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
PAT
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
HUR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |