River Plate vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 2
SAR
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ALD
0 - 3
RIV
18%
23%
59%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
GLP
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 2
RIV
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 0
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
ALD
2 - 4
NOB
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 0
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
NOB
1 - 2
DYJ
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
NOB
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |