River Plate vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 2
RIV
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
LAN
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
3 - 2
RIV
40%
29%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 0
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 1
QUI
57%
25%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 4
NOB
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ARG
0 - 0
NOB
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 1
GRE
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NOB
2 - 0
RAC
59%
25%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |