River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1976 |
RIV
3 - 0
PEÑ
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1976 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1976 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1976 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
EST
1 - 0
RIV
60%
20%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1976 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
IND
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1976 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
IND
1 - 0
PEÑ
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1976 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
IND
1 - 1
CAU
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |