River Plate vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.2%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
4 - 1
MIL
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
SAP
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 0
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 0
SLO
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 2
SOL
22%
25%
54%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SOL
2 - 2
CEN
64%
22%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 0
APE
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
APE
0 - 2
CEN
33%
28%
40%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 2
RAC
57%
24%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |