River Plate vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TAL
1 - 0
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 2
RIV
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 2
ARG
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
RIV
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 4
ARG
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
DYJ
1 - 1
ATT
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ATT
1 - 2
GLP
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
ATT
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
ATT
0 - 1
CCS
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |