River Plate vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 2
RIV
23%
25%
53%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
RIV
0 - 0
ARS
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
RIV
2 - 2
NOB
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 2
RIV
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 1
EST
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALM
3 - 1
INS
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ARG
0 - 0
ALM
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
ALM
0 - 2
BAN
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
COL
0 - 0
ALM
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 1
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |