River Plate vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 0
COL
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 2
TIG
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 1
PLA
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
RIV
31%
25%
43%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 7
RIV
16%
23%
60%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 3
ALI
31%
29%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
FOR
29%
28%
44%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALI
20%
27%
53%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 1
COL
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |