CA Lugano vs Puerto Nuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DPA
0 - 1
LUG
48%
25%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 0
JUU
34%
28%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
CBA
38%
28%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
CES
1 - 0
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 4
SBA
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
PUE
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
DPA
0 - 3
PUE
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 1
JUU
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
PUE
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |