CA Lugano vs Puerto Nuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAA
4 - 0
LUG
66%
21%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 0
ARQ
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
LUG
24%
26%
51%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 1
CAÑ
37%
31%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CBA
0 - 2
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
ITU
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
JUU
2 - 0
PUE
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
CES
23%
27%
50%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 0
PUE
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 4
SMA
21%
26%
53%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |