noscript image

Primera D Argentina. Clausura, Matchday 4

CA Lugano vs Juventud Unida analysis

CA Lugano Juventud Unida
7 ELO 10
-63% Tilt -23%
12107º General ELO ranking 11026º
384º Country ELO ranking 380º
ELO win probability
22.1%
CA Lugano
39%
Draw
38.9%
Juventud Unida

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
CA Lugano
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.2%
+1
17.1%
39%
Draw
0-0
26.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
39%
38.9%
Win probability
Juventud Unida
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
21.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
26%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.2%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%

Points and table prediction

CA Lugano
Their league position
Juventud Unida
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
11º
19
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Liniers
23
23
100%
Defensores de Cambaceres
22
22
100%
Sportivo Barracas
20
20
100%
Juventud Unida
19
19
50%
Yupanqui
19
19
50%
Arg. Rosario
16
16
100%
CA Lugano
15
15
100%
Centro Español
14
14
100%
Puerto Nuevo
12
12
100%
Dep. Muñiz
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Central Ballester
11º
7
7
11º
100%
Dep. Paraguayo
12º
5
5
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
CA Lugano
Juventud Unida
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Juventud Unida
JUU
CA Lugano
LUG
Yupanqui
YUP
Dep. Paraguayo
DPA
Liniers
LIN
Puerto Nuevo
PUE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CA Lugano
CA Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO LUG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2021
ARR
Arg. Rosario
2 - 1
CA Lugano
LUG
46%
27%
26%
108 185 77 -1
24 Jul. 2021
LUG
CA Lugano
0 - 1
Liniers
LIN
41%
28%
30%
108 169 -61 -1
19 Jul. 2021
YUP
Yupanqui
1 - 5
CA Lugano
LUG
46%
27%
28%
107 74 -33 +1
10 Jul. 2021
LUG
CA Lugano
0 - 1
Defensores de Cambaceres
CAM
45%
27%
29%
108 194 -86 -1
04 Jul. 2021
LUG
CA Lugano
2 - 3
Sportivo Barracas
SBA
46%
27%
27%
108 116 -8 -1

Matches

Juventud Unida
Juventud Unida
1%
X%
2%
ELO JUU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2021
CAM
Defensores de Cambaceres
3 - 0
Juventud Unida
JUU
47%
27%
26%
143 197 54 -1
24 Jul. 2021
JUU
Juventud Unida
0 - 0
Dep. Muñiz
MUÑ
46%
27%
26%
143 68 75 0
19 Jul. 2021
CBA
Central Ballester
1 - 1
Juventud Unida
JUU
41%
28%
30%
143 73 -70 0
12 Jul. 2021
JUU
Juventud Unida
1 - 1
Centro Español
CES
45%
27%
28%
143 120 23 0
04 Jul. 2021
ARR
Arg. Rosario
0 - 1
Juventud Unida
JUU
47%
27%
26%
142 186 44 +1