CA Lugano vs Dep. Riestra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
DPA
2 - 2
LUG
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
ARQ
23%
25%
51%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
JUU
1 - 1
LUG
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 3
ALE
20%
24%
55%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
PUE
0 - 1
LUG
30%
25%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
RIE
2 - 0
CBA
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LIN
7 - 1
RIE
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
RIE
0 - 2
BER
28%
26%
47%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MID
1 - 0
RIE
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
RIE
2 - 4
CAA
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |