CA Lugano vs Sportivo Barracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
CLA
0 - 0
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
CAM
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
CBA
1 - 0
LUG
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
CAA
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
LUG
46%
25%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SBA
2 - 1
CBA
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
BER
2 - 0
SBA
62%
22%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
SBA
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
SBA
0 - 0
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 0
SBA
54%
24%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |