CA Lugano vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability

1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.7%
Win probability

1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-3%
-12%

ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
![]() 1 - 2
![]() LUG
71%
19%
11%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
29 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
![]() 0 - 2
![]() YUP
45%
27%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
25 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
![]() 2 - 2
![]() LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
17 Oct. 2021 |
SBA
![]() 3 - 0
![]() LUG
66%
20%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
13 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
![]() 3 - 2
![]() PUE
22%
25%
53%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 Nov. 2021 |
ARR
![]() 2 - 1
![]() SBA
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
31 Oct. 2021 |
PUE
![]() 0 - 3
![]() ARR
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +3 |
25 Oct. 2021 |
ARR
![]() 2 - 1
![]() DPA
57%
24%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
21 Oct. 2021 |
ARR
![]() 1 - 2
![]() MUÑ
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
18 Oct. 2021 |
JUU
![]() 1 - 1
![]() ARR
45%
26%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |