Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 6-6
Lanús vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
LAN
0 - 1
ARG
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SLO
4 - 3
LAN
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LAN
1 - 1
EST
49%
28%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
UCE
2 - 0
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ATT
2 - 2
LAN
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 2
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
5 - 1
BIN
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
GRE
36%
28%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 3
SAO
39%
27%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 2
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |