Lanús vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 2
LAN
16%
21%
63%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GLP
2 - 4
LAN
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
LAN
4 - 2
PAT
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAN
2 - 0
LAN
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 0
LAN
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
NOB
2 - 2
HUR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ATT
2 - 2
NOB
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
NOB
0 - 0
CAU
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DYJ
4 - 0
NOB
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 2
IND
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |