Lanús vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
LAN
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 0
TAL
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 1
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 0
LAN
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 2
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 2
EQU
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 1
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 2
EQU
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
2 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |