Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
LAN
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SAR
1 - 0
LAN
21%
23%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 3
NOB
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 2
LAN
16%
21%
63%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GLP
2 - 4
LAN
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 3
FLA
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 0
HUR
59%
24%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
ATT
2 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
TAL
1 - 1
VEL
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
4 - 1
CAU
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |