Lanús vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
LAN
1 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
LAN
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
LAN
3 - 0
ARS
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
COL
1 - 3
LAN
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LAN
0 - 2
BAN
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 3
RIV
20%
24%
57%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 2
LIB
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 2
RAC
71%
17%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
COR
1 - 3
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |