Independiente II vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 4
IDC
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
OES
1 - 1
IDC
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
IDC
2 - 0
UDP
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
UFC
0 - 3
IDC
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
IDC
2 - 0
AFM
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
UFC
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
UDP
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
NAC
20%
25%
56%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 2
OES
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
ACH
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |