Independiente II vs San Francisco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
2º
12
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IDC
3 - 2
OES
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 3
IDC
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
IDC
3 - 1
UFC
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
IDC
1 - 4
OES
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
1 - 2
IDC
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Francisco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 2
UFC
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
SFF
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 5
UDP
37%
25%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SFF
1 - 1
NAC
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OES
1 - 0
SFF
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |