Torneo Regional Federal Amateur Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Defensores de Formosa vs Club Atlético Bartolomé Mit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ABM
0 - 0
DDF
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
DDF
1 - 0
RES
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
DDF
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
DCM
0 - 0
DDF
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
DDF
2 - 0
LAG
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Club Atlético Bartolomé Mit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ABM
0 - 0
DDF
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ABM
1 - 1
VCC
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 18 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
VCC
2 - 2
ABM
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 18 | 47 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
CIG
0 - 4
ABM
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 17 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ABM
1 - 1
CIG
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 16 | 49 | 0 |