Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 5-3
Boca Juniors vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 0
COL
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
BOC
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 1
BOC
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 0
ZAM
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
TIG
2 - 1
BOC
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 1
UCO
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 2
UNI
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
2 - 1
UNI
54%
21%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
CSD
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
BOL
68%
18%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |