Boca Juniors vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BOC
3 - 1
CEN
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
IND
1 - 1
BOC
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BOC
1 - 0
TAL
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ARS
0 - 1
BOC
20%
26%
53%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
BOC
3 - 1
HUR
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BAN
2 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 2
CAU
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
EST
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CEN
3 - 2
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 2
IND
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |