Boca Juniors vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
1 - 0
ITA
83%
12%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
1 - 1
PEÑ
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1986 |
RAC
1 - 1
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1986 |
MWA
2 - 0
BOC
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1986 |
BOC
0 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
MWA
86%
9%
6%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1986 |
MWA
2 - 0
BOC
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1986 |
MWA
0 - 2
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 1986 |
MWA
3 - 1
PEÑ
3%
31%
66%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 1
MWA
93%
5%
3%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |