Boca Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 2
BOC
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
BOC
3 - 1
COL
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
VEL
5 - 2
BOC
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
BOC
3 - 0
RIV
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
OPE
0 - 1
BOC
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
IND
0 - 0
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
SLO
3 - 2
IND
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
IND
4 - 0
AND
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
TAL
1 - 0
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
EST
0 - 2
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |