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Primera Division. Matchday 11

Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia analysis

Boca Juniors Defensa y Justicia
84 ELO 74
-35% Tilt -18%
42º General ELO ranking 149º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
50.1%
Boca Juniors
29.1%
Draw
20.8%
Defensa y Justicia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
Boca Juniors
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
20.8%
Win probability
Defensa y Justicia
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boca Juniors
-51%
-12%
Defensa y Justicia

Basic stats

59
41
POS
14
11
SOT
4
5
COR
84
74
ELO
1.3
0.7
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Boca Juniors
Their league position
Defensa y Justicia
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
24º
15º
14
25º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Talleres Córdoba
23
44
16%
Lanús
23
53
28%
River Plate
21
50
4%
Estudiantes La Plata
20
44
9%
Independiente
19
41
5%
Racing Club
18
34
10º
5%
Godoy Cruz
16
41
5%
Colón
16
35
4%
Boca Juniors
15
33
13º
4%
Atl.Tucumán
10º
15
34
4%
Vélez Sarsfield
11º
14
38
4%
Defensa y Justicia
12º
14
33
12º
4%
Argentinos Juniors
13º
14
29
20º
4%
Patronato
14º
14
27
22º
4%
Rosario Central
15º
13
34
11º
4%
CA Huracán
16º
13
30
18º
4%
San Lorenzo
17º
13
29
19º
4%
Aldosivi
18º
13
31
16º
4%
Sarmiento
19º
12
30
17º
4%
Newell's Old Boys
20º
12
32
15º
4%
Unión Santa Fe
21º
12
33
14º
4%
Central Córdoba SdE
22º
11
25
23º
4%
Gimnasia La Plata
23º
11
28
21º
5%
Platense
24º
10
25
24º
6%
Banfield
25º
9
24
25º
7%
Arsenal de Sarandí
26º
8
18
26º
11%
Expected probabilities
Boca Juniors
Defensa y Justicia
Champion
1% 1%
Copa Libertadores
7% 6%
Copa Libertadores knockout stages
4% 4%
South American Liguilla
22% 21%
Mid-table
66% 67%

ELO progression

Boca Juniors
BOC
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
Atl.Tucumán
ATT
Banfield
BAN
Rosario Central
CEN
Patronato
PAT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO BOC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2021
CEN
Rosario Central
1 - 2
Boca Juniors
BOC
33%
28%
39%
2707 2023 -684 +7
30 Aug. 2021
BOC
Boca Juniors
0 - 0
Racing Club
RAC
54%
25%
21%
2710 2473 237 -3
26 Aug. 2021
PLA
Platense
1 - 3
Boca Juniors
BOC
16%
20%
64%
2707 1070 -1637 +3
22 Aug. 2021
BOC
Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Patronato
PAT
72%
17%
11%
2704 1668 1036 +3
15 Aug. 2021
EST
Estudiantes La Plata
1 - 0
Boca Juniors
BOC
37%
28%
35%
2717 2229 -488 -13

Matches

Defensa y Justicia
Defensa y Justicia
1%
X%
2%
ELO DYJ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2021
DYJ
Defensa y Justicia
0 - 0
Tigre
TIG
58%
22%
19%
2064 1537 527 -3
04 Sep. 2021
DYJ
Defensa y Justicia
1 - 1
Central Córdoba SdE
CCS
73%
18%
10%
2070 1123 947 -7
29 Aug. 2021
ARS
Arsenal de Sarandí
0 - 0
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
35%
27%
38%
2073 1475 -598 -3
25 Aug. 2021
DYJ
Defensa y Justicia
2 - 0
Newell's Old Boys
NOB
47%
27%
26%
2059 2131 -72 +14
21 Aug. 2021
IND
Independiente
0 - 0
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
58%
24%
18%
2055 2364 309 +3