Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
JUN
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 1
TAL
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ATT
1 - 1
BOC
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 2
RIV
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 1
TIG
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
DYJ
1 - 3
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TAL
1 - 0
DYJ
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
DYJ
1 - 1
BEL
51%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
AME
0 - 3
DYJ
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ATT
0 - 1
DYJ
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |