Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 2
BOC
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 2
TAL
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 2
BOC
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
BOC
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 1
TIG
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
HUR
2 - 0
DYJ
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DYJ
1 - 0
NOB
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 2
DYJ
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
DYJ
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
DYJ
2 - 0
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |