Boca Juniors vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 0
BAN
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
DYJ
1 - 2
BOC
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 3
BOC
23%
28%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOC
46%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BOC
0 - 1
SLO
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CDN
0 - 1
RIV
16%
24%
61%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
CDN
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ALD
2 - 0
CDN
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CDN
1 - 3
LAN
17%
25%
59%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ARG
4 - 0
CDN
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |