Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 0
BOC
44%
28%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
AGR
0 - 1
BOC
14%
24%
62%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BOC
2 - 1
PLA
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PAT
3 - 0
BOC
22%
28%
50%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
BOC
3 - 1
EST
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CEN
3 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 1
CEN
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 1
QUI
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
CEN
0 - 3
CCS
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ARS
0 - 3
CEN
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |