Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 2
BOC
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 1
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 0
ATL
72%
19%
10%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 0
SLO
62%
23%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BOC
3 - 2
UCH
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 1
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 4
HUR
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 2
CEN
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 2
RIV
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |