Boca Juniors vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 7
BOC
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 1
CLA
84%
13%
3%
|
86 | 36 | 50 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 1
SAR
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
NOB
0 - 1
BOC
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 2
GLP
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 1
ARG
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 5
RIV
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 1
RIV
8%
17%
75%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 0
CEN
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
RIV
12%
20%
69%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |