Boca Juniors vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 3
NOB
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 2
BOC
37%
30%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
GOD
1 - 1
BOC
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ALB
3 - 1
BOC
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 0
ARS
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 1
LAN
40%
27%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
RAF
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
RAF
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
SLO
3 - 0
RAF
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
RAF
0 - 3
NOB
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |