CA Bastia vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
CAB
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 2
ORL
44%
28%
29%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
LPS
0 - 0
CAB
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PFC
0 - 1
CAB
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
CAB
5 - 3
FCR
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
USB
0 - 0
PFC
69%
20%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
FCR
3 - 1
USB
33%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
USB
5 - 0
RED
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
USB
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
USB
1 - 0
BOU
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |