Banfield vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TAL
1 - 0
BAN
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAN
0 - 0
ATT
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 1
IVT
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
TIG
1 - 2
BAN
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 3
NAC
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 4
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
PEÑ
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |