Banfield vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
BAN
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 0
VEL
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
BAN
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 0
SAR
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 0
BAN
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
DFR
3 - 0
SLP
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SLP
2 - 2
DFR
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 0
FER
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 0
DFR
33%
30%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
DFR
2 - 1
CGB
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |